Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.369429 0.426355 0.488211 0.560294 0.641863 0.731175 0.836237
2025-10-19 0.278260 0.357487 0.451963 0.572335 0.720972 0.897804 1.123351
2025-10-26 0.224172 0.312159 0.424591 0.577507 0.778579 1.032285 1.374702
2025-11-02 0.185447 0.276354 0.399419 0.576060 0.820524 1.143932 1.600519
2025-11-09 0.154784 0.245119 0.373860 0.567624 0.848017 1.234419 1.801356
2025-11-16 0.131124 0.219583 0.351706 0.559277 0.871894 1.318616 1.996679
2025-11-23 0.109799 0.193983 0.325464 0.540560 0.876849 1.373851 2.152208
2025-11-30 0.102684 0.189794 0.331039 0.570029 0.955391 1.540864 2.481467
2025-12-07 0.088082 0.170833 0.310446 0.555198 0.962789 1.600040 2.651148
2025-12-14 0.075579 0.153621 0.290455 0.538657 0.964922 1.649742 2.807744
2025-12-21 0.065790 0.139875 0.274627 0.527073 0.973372 1.708846 2.981595
2025-12-28 0.060649 0.134199 0.272386 0.538711 1.021600 1.835128 3.271353
2026-01-04 0.057685 0.132595 0.277732 0.565033 1.098452 2.015809 3.665691
2026-01-11 0.053403 0.127717 0.276360 0.578819 1.154186 2.164685 4.016681
2026-01-18 0.048689 0.121199 0.270955 0.584181 1.194585 2.289113 4.332725
2026-01-25 0.043871 0.113696 0.262610 0.582729 1.221661 2.391037 4.614590
2026-02-01 0.038999 0.105306 0.251387 0.574206 1.234139 2.466854 4.853695
2026-02-08 0.034729 0.097658 0.240799 0.565772 1.245753 2.541251 5.093844
2026-02-15 0.030201 0.088624 0.226030 0.546858 1.234517 2.571541 5.253545
2026-02-22 0.029521 0.089333 0.233416 0.576636 1.324972 2.801040 5.799575
2026-03-01 0.026013 0.081997 0.221202 0.561650 1.320747 2.846394 5.996958
2026-03-08 0.022821 0.074967 0.208826 0.544935 1.311236 2.880246 6.173308
2026-03-15 0.020269 0.069294 0.199065 0.533229 1.311431 2.933142 6.389380